Working Papers
The Role of Growth Slowdowns and Forecast Errors in Public Debt Crises, Paper for NBER Conference, December 2011.
Benevolent Autocrats, August 2011.
Commercial Imperialism? Political Influence and Trade During the Cold War, (with Daniel Berger, Nathan Nunn, and Shanker Satyanath), updated February 2011. Web Appendix.
African Export Successes: Surprises, Stylized Facts, and Explanations (with Ariell Reshef) December 2010
Superpower Interventions and their Consequences for Democracy: an Empirical Inquiry (with Shanker Satyanath and Daniel Berger) March 2010
The power of exports, (with Ariell Reshef and Julia Schwenkenberg), World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 5081, October 2009
Big Hits in Manufacturing Exports and Development, (with Ariell Reshef), October 2009
The European Origins of Economic Development, (with Ross Levine), April 2009



